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Winning Sports Picks - "The Due Factor"

February 22, 2012 at 4:56 AM in Other Sports by Blog about winningsportspicks

Most sports bettors correctly focus on recent performance when makingSports Picks. Recent performances show not only who's playing well or poorly, but also reveal team mindsets and chemistry. Such intangibles are very useful in makingWinning Sports Picks(or at least avoiding losing sportsMarch Madness Picks).

But how much emphasis should be put on how a team has played over its last 3 or 5 or 10 games? In this article, we examine what we call "The Due Factor" - whether or not a team's performance is ripe for a change because of a long series of similar performances and/or results.

If a team has lost 10 straight games, are they really "due" to finally win one? As of this writing (May 1st), the baseball season is still very young, but a number of notable winning and losing streaks have occurred. Already this season, the Yankees have lost 7 straightSports Handicapping, causing owner George Steinbrenner to issue a terse threat disguised as a statement of hopeful support. The Giants, too, have had a streak of their own, an 8-game winner.

The Yanks finally turned it around at home against their great rival, the Red Sox, but was that victory any more likely because they had lost the seven previous games? Imagine if they had lost the previous 10 games or even 15. How about then? Clearly, they aren't going to lose 130 straight games. They HAVE to win sometime, right?

The Giants 8-game winning streak came to an end as well. If they had won that 9th game, would it make winning the 10th harder? How about if they had won 20 straight? With each consecutive win, the odds of them winning the next game get smaller and smaller, correct?

The answer is a big fat NO.

Although recent performances are useful in evaluating potential sports picks, they are not predictive. The previous game will not tell you what will happen in the next game. It's as simple as that.

Whether it's called "The Due Factor" or "The Law of Averages" or "Regression to The Mean", this type of thinking is so pervasive among gamblers that mathematicians have their own name for it: The Gambler's Fallacy.

Not only are mathematicians aware of it, you can bet sportsbooks and casinos are too. In fact, roulette tables emphasize the Gambler's Fallacy when they show the last 10 or so results on a big board for all players and potential players to see. The casino is HOPING for a streak. If 19 reds have come up in a row, lots of people will pile money on black. It's due, these people think. If they have some (but not enough) knowledge of math, they may incorrectly think that the odds of red coming up 20 times in a row is 1 in 3,091,874, but the odds are exactly the same as the first spin.

The same goes for flipping a coin. The Law of Averages says that 1000 flips of a coin will produce a near equal split between heads and tails. If, while flipping this coin 1000 times, you hit a streak of 100 heads in a row, the odds of the next flip being tails is 50%, just like every other flip. The important word in the phrase Law of Averages is "Law" not "Averages".

If a team wins 20 games in a row, the odds of them winning the next game are not effected by this streak. Each game is an independent event and has odds of its own completely unrelated to the games which occurred in the past. Besides, why would you ever want to bet against a team that has won 20 in a row? Clearly, this team is kicking ass and taking names.

When it comes to sports betting and streaks, the wisest move is to have your sports picks go with the flow, not against it. Betting against a streak opens up unlimited losses because you never know how long the streak will continue. A streak can go on game after game after game, but the end of a streak can happen only once.

 

Best Sports Handicapping Service

February 22, 2012 at 4:55 AM in Other Sports by Blog about winningsportspicks

We live in an amazing time. Technology has made so much of daily life easier for everyone; it seems like you can get anything you want or need in the blink of an eye. Finding sports betting tips and using aSports Handicapping service is no exception to all this movement at the speed of light. There are amazing opportunities for people to earn a substantial living by gambling on the multibillion dollar sports industry. Many enterprising people are able to make a full time living by using the information professional online handicapping services provide. With expert individual analysis and betting knowledge, the ability to successfully and consistently predict the outcomes of sports events, games, and races becomes easier and easier.

Of course, the business of sports gambling has developed and expanded over time to be a very popular and lucrative activity. There are several pros and cons, but with hot betting service and some solid tips, you will be able to avoid the cons.

Some of the advantages of using a hot sports betting service and theirWinning Sports Pick are that the punter will be getting highly profitable insider information regarding trends, past performances, and spread numbers. Plus, a reputable service will email theMarch Madness Picks to clients directly. Most of the bestSports Picks services are guided by professionals who have been in this business for quite some time. By using their guidance, bettors have a much higher chance of winning per play.

The cons involved with a sports pick service are that there are many scams and false claims out there. Weeding through the riff-raff to find the reputable companies is a task worth doing. Be wary of false promises like 99% return on your investment. Claims that don't sound realistic probably are claims that will not happen. By detecting the bullshit before you invest, you will be saving yourself lots of future headaches and potential profit loss.

The best sports pick services are ones guided by trained professionals who have been in the business for a long time. By using their qualified services, a bettor will have a much better chance of winning per play. Plus, with a proven track record and reputation, you have some easy ways to evaluate their proficiency and ability to make the hot picks. It's a way of checking the betting company's performance to determine how much they have been profiting people with considerable margins. That way, you'll know whether or not you want to contact them for their services and guidance.

 

Hot Sports Handicapping Service

January 24, 2012 at 7:42 AM in Golf by Blog about winningsportspicks

We live in an amazing time. Technology has made so much of daily life easier for everyone; it seems like you can get anything you want or need in the blink of an eye. Finding sports betting tips and using a Sports Handicapping service is no exception to all this movement at the speed of light. There are amazing opportunities for people to earn a substantial living by gambling on the multibillion dollar sports industry. Many enterprising people are able to make a full time living by using the information professional online handicapping services provide. With expert individual analysis and betting knowledge, the ability to successfully and consistently predict the outcomes of sports events, games, and races becomes easier and easier.

Of course, the business of sports gambling has developed and expanded over time to be a very popular and lucrative activity. There are several pros and cons, but with hot betting service and some solid tips, you will be able to avoid the cons.

Some of the advantages of using a hot sports betting service and their Winning Sports Pick are that the punter will be getting highly profitable insider information regarding trends, past performances, and spread numbers. Plus, a reputable service will email the March Madness Picks to clients directly. Most of the best Sports Picks services are guided by professionals who have been in this business for quite some time. By using their guidance, bettors have a much higher chance of winning per play.

The cons involved with a sports pick service are that there are many scams and false claims out there. Weeding through the riff-raff to find the reputable companies is a task worth doing. Be wary of false promises like 99% return on your investment. Claims that don't sound realistic probably are claims that will not happen. By detecting the bullshit before you invest, you will be saving yourself lots of future headaches and potential profit loss.

The best sports pick services are ones guided by trained professionals who have been in the business for a long time. By using their qualified services, a bettor will have a much better chance of winning per play. Plus, with a proven track record and reputation, you have some easy ways to evaluate their proficiency and ability to make the hot picks. It's a way of checking the betting company's performance to determine how much they have been profiting people with considerable margins. That way, you'll know whether or not you want to contact them for their services and guidance.

 

Sports Betting Picks - How to Choose a Professional Sports Handicapping

January 24, 2012 at 7:41 AM in Basketball by Blog about winningsportspicks

If making your own sports betting picks were easy then we'd all be rich. But as you probably know, that's just not reality. Even if you've been watching and betting on sports for years, trying to determine who will cover the spread or win can be very difficult. It takes a lot of time to research and study games/matches. And let's face it, most people work a full time job and just don't have the time or resources that should be put in to handicapping sports.

For the majority of people, that means turning to a professional Sports Handicapping service to purchase their picks. I have no problem at all with doing this, and even recommend a few that I feel have proven themselves to be honest and reputable. However, with thousands of handicappers selling their own picks and claiming how great they are, it's hard to determine the good from the bad.

I would go as far to say that 98% of the "so called professional handicappers" are not worth a nickel of your money. So it's up to you to find the 2% that may be worthy of you giving them a shot. Prior to giving anybody your hard earned cash though, you need to do a little research first. Whether it's searching Google, asking on message boards or forums, or checking to see if their Sports Picks are being monitored,

 just put in the time before purchasing someone's Winning Sports Picks.

Some criteria that I use in my own personal research include finding out:

What's Their Long Term Track Record - You'll want to try and find an accurate record of at least a few years. I prefer 5, but that can vary depending on circumstances. Don't just believe what it says on their site either. Try to find a reliable monitor that actually tracks their sports March Madness Picks. Also check out what people know or are saying about them in various sports betting forums. Although the forums aren't always 100% reliable, most of the time you can find pretty good sources.

How Long Have They Been in Business - Again, I think at least five years is a good starting point. However, I'd like to know that they've actually been handicapping games/matches for a lot longer period (at least 10 years). However, there will always be exceptions to this rule

How Much Does it Cost - Obviously cost is going to be very important since this will have to be subtracted out of your overall bankroll. Don't always go for the most expensive sports betting service. There are plenty of good ones that will fit into the budget of a $50-$100 player.

As with most things pertaining to betting on sports, it really just comes down to putting in a little time and effort before making a decision. A good, reliable professional sports handicapping service is a must have for anyone that is serious about sports gambling but doesn't have the time or resources to do it them self.

 

Tips on Finding a Trusted Sports Picks Service

January 16, 2012 at 3:45 AM in Golf by Blog about winningsportspicks

Believe it or not, you can find freeSports Picks all over the internet. Well, I know that you can believe it, but what truly is unbelievable is that most online sports pick services are not going to be helpful to you or your money. Not unless you learn how to use information aboutSports Handicapping, point spreads, and wagering to enhance the tips you get from a trusted sports pick service.

Here are some reasons why. With a sports service, there is no phone call needed to your bookie. Cashing out is easy, place your bet at anytime around the clock. There are always lots of sign up bonuses for new players with an online service. There are hardly ANY bookies that offer this. No pressure to quit when your winning. When a huge game and a lot of money and you can get out any time. You don't have to feel obligated or feel pressured because you just took the bookies money and you won't give him a chance to win it back.

Make sure you do your homework before selecting a professional sports pick service. When they are trustworthy, they will be able to offer you a worthwhile money back guarantee. It needs to be a win/win situation for both punter and the sports pick service; not just the service.

Finding one is not difficult, but doing some research is part of finding a trusted one who will give you the best value for your money.

Many professional handicapper's can be quite expensive, so do not let them rip you off also and charge you outrageous amounts for losingWinning Sports Picks! Scams abound, but, so too, do

reliable and trustworthy sources of betting information. It's all up to you and your savvy to find the one that will do the job right for you and your money.

When you figure out how to find the right sports pick service you will find yourself making an excellent ROI on a consistent basis. Pick a sport you know something about, do your homework and research, and don't over-bet your bankroll. When you apply all of these ideas you know that you can trust your service options online.Anyone can postMarch Madness Picks online, but not everyone will be providing helpful information that consistently makes money. That's why educating yourself on sports wagering ideas PLUS a trusted service is the ideal. Hand in hand, you will find yourself having fun and making money. It's assured.

 

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